Preview

Arctic and Subarctic Natural Resources

Advanced search

Possibilities of seismic danger estimation of natural and technogenic risk of «Yakutsk city» agglomeration

https://doi.org/10.31242/2618-9712-2018-26-4-16-29

Abstract

Modern geodynamics of the Lena-Aldan plateau, wherein the «Yakutsk city» agglomeration is located, is studied on the basis of seismotectonic and geophysical data as well as interpretation of aerial and space photos. A number of active faults are recognized (Yakutsk, Kangalassy, Tabaga, etc.), to which epicenters of earthquakes with an intensity of 4–6 are confined. Morphological-kinematic characteristics of these tectonic dislocations are given. Calculations of probable recurrence rate of strong (5–8 in intensity) seismic events in the area of Yakutsk are presented. The notion of seismic risk and methods of assessment of natural and technogenic disasters are considered that may arise during the economic development of the Lena River valley, which is associated with an increase of paces of construction and industrial pressure on the ecology of Tuymaada Valley, where Yakutsk is located. Priority measures necessary for risk reduction are proposed.

About the Authors

Valeriy Suleimanovich Imaev
Institute of the Earth's Crust SB RAS
Russian Federation

IMAEV Valeriy Suleimanovich, Doctor of Geological and Mineralogical Sciences, Academician of Academy of Sciences of Republic of Sakha (Yakutia), Principal Researcher, Institute of the Earth's Crust SB RAS, 128 Lermontova St., Irkutsk, 664033, Russia,
http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-0526, imaev@crust.irk.ru



Ludmila Petrovna Imaeva
Institute of the Earth's Crust SB RAS
Russian Federation

IMAEVA Ludmila Petrovna, Candidate of Geological and Mineralogical Sciences, Senior Researcher, Institute of the Earth's Crust SB RAS, 128 Lermontova St., Irkutsk, 664033, Russia, http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8235-7112, imaeva@crust.irk.ru



Boris Mikhailovich Kozmin
Diamond and Precious Metal Geology Institute SB RAS
Russian Federation

KOZMIN Boris Mikhailovich, Candidate of Geological and Mineralogical Sciences, Leading Researcher, Diamond and Precious Metal Geology Institute SB RAS, 39 Lenin Ave., Yakutsk, 677980, Russia,
http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4270-1318, b.m.kozmin@diamond.ysn.ru;



Anatoliy Firsovich Petrov
Yakutsk Branch of the Federal Research Center of the Unified Geophysical Service of the RAS
Russian Federation

PETROV Anatoliy Firsovich, Candidate of Geological and Mineralogical Sciences, Chief Specialist, Yakutsk Branch of the Federal Research Center of the Unified Geophysical Service of the RAS, 39 Lenin Ave., Yakutsk, 677007, Russia, http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6236-5062, afpetrov80@yandex.ru;



Sergey Valentinovich Shibaev
Yakutsk Branch of the Federal Research Center of the Unified Geophysical Service of the RAS
Russian Federation

SHIBAEV Sergey Valentinovich, Director, Yakutsk Branch of the Federal Research Center of the Unified Geophysical Service of the RAS, 39 Lenin Ave., Yakutsk, 677007, Russia, http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7819-072X, shibaev@emsd.ru



Nikolai Nikolaevich Grib
Technical Institute (Branch) of M.K. Ammosov NEFU
Russian Federation

GRIB Nikolai Nikolaevich, Doctor of Technical Sciences, Deputy Director, Technical Institute (Branch) of M.K. Ammosov NEFU, 16 Kravchenko St., Neryungri, 678960, Russia, http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3818-9473, grib@nfygu.ru



Igor Innokent’evich Kolodeznikov
Academy of Sciences of Republic of Sakha
Russian Federation

KOLODEZNIKOV Igor Innokent’evich, Doctor of Geological and Mineralogical Sciences, President, Academy of Sciences of Republic of Sakha, 33 Lenin Ave., Yakutsk, 677007, Russia, anrsya@mail.ru



References

1. Mushketov I., Orlov A. Katalog zemletryasenij Rossijskoj imperii. SPb.: Tipografiya Imperatorskoj Akademii nauk, 1893. 852 s.

2. Medvedev S.V., Sponheuer V., Karnik V. Shkala sejsmicheskoj intensivnosti MSK-64. M.: MGK AN SSSR, 1965. 11 s.

3. Imaev V.S., Imaeva L.P., Koz’min B.M. Sejsmo-tektonika Yakutii. M.: GEOS, 2000. 226 s.

4. Shibaev S.V., Petrov A.F., Koz’min B.M., Imaeva L.P., Timirshin K.V. Sejsmicheskij risk na territorii g. Yakutska // Nauka i obrazovanie. 2010.

5. № 2. S. 4–10.

6. Sejsmotektonika Severo-Vostochnogo sektora Rossijskoj Arktiki / Otv. red.: L.P. Imaeva, I.I. Kolodeznikov. Novosibirsk: Nauka, 2017. 134 s.

7. Ishikhara K. Povedenie gruntov pri zemletryaseniyakh. SPb.: NPO «Georekonstruktsiya–Fundamentproekt», 1996. 383 s.

8. Aleshin A.S. Sejsmicheskoe mikrorajonirovanie osobo otvetstvennykh ob'ektov. M.: Svetoch Plyus, 2010. 304 s.

9. Sherman S.I., Berzhinskij Yu.A., Pavlenov V.A., Aptikaev F.F. Regional'nye shkaly sejsmicheskoj intensivnosti. Novosibirsk: Geo, 2003. 189 s.

10. Rekomendatsii po sejsmicheskomu mikrorajonirovaniyu pri inzhenernykh izyskaniyakh dlya stroitel'stva. M.: Gosstroj SSSR, 1985. 72 s.

11. Imaev V.S., Imaeva L.P., Kozmin B.M. Aktivnye sejsmostruktury Leno–Aldanskogo mezhdurech'ya (Tsentral'naya Yakutiya) // Issledovanie Zemli iz kosmosa. 2006. № 2. S. 1–6.

12. Bocharov G.V., Gusev G.S., Petrov A.F., Spektor V.B. Karta sovremennykh vertikal'nykh dvizhenij zemnoj kory Yakutii m–ba 1 : 2 500 000. Yakutsk: YakutAGP, 1997.

13. Bocharov G.V., Gusev G.S., Esikova L.V., Spektor V.B. Karta sovremennykh dvizhenij territorii Yakutskoj ASSR // Geotektonika. 1982. № 3. S. 60–63.

14. Petrov A.F., Shibaev S.V., Kozmin B.M., Timirshin K.V. Sejsmichnost' i sejsmostojkoe stroitel'stvo v Yakutii // Nauka i tekhnika v Yakutii. Sbornik statej. Novosibirsk: Geo, 2007. S. 65–70.

15. Karta anomal'nogo magnitnogo polya Rossii i prilegayuschikh akvatorij m-ba 1:2 500 000, 2016.

16. SNiP II-7-81*. Stroitel'stvo v sejsmicheskikh rajonakh. M.: GUP TsPP Gosstroya Rossii, 2000.

17. Sejsmicheskoe rajonirovanie territorii Rossijskoj Federatsii OSR–2015. Karta na 4-kh listakh / Gl. redaktor: E.A. Rogozhin. M.: OIFZ RAN, 2015.

18. Ulomov V.I. Ob osnovnykh polozheniyakh i tekhnicheskikh rekomendatsiyakh po sozdaniyu novoj karty sejsmicheskogo rajonirovaniya territorii Rossijskoj Federatsii // Sejsmichnost' i sejsmicheskoe rajonirovanie Severnoj Evrazii. M.: OIFZ RAN, 1995. Vyp. 2, № 3. S. 9–26.

19. Slovar'-spravochnik terminov normativnotekhnicheskoj dokumentatsii: «Academic.ru». 2015.

20. Levi K.G., Radziminovich Ya.B. Sejsmicheskij risk promyshlennykh tsentrov Irkutskoj oblasti

21. // Geofizicheskie issledovaniya v Vostochnoj Sibiri na rubezhe XXI veka: Sb. nauch. tr. Novosibirsk: Nauka, 1996. S. 203–205.

22. Manilov Yu.F., Barashikov I.A., Zhestkova

23. S.G. Sejsmicheskie riski: problemy i otsenki // Tekhnologii grazhdanskoj bezopasnosti. 2014. T. 11, № 2 (40). S. 44–47.

24. Au S.K., Beck J.L. Subset simulation and its application to seismic risk based on dynamic analysis // Journal of engineering mechanics. ASCE. 2003. P. 901–917. DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)07339399(2003) 129:8(901).

25. Zaalishvili V.B., Mozhiev H.N. Sejsmicheskij risk suschestvuyuschej zastrojki na territorii g. Vladikavkaza // Sejsmostojkoe stroitel'stvo. Bezopasnost' sooruzhenij. 2008. № 4. S. 40–43.

26. Voronkov O.K. Inzhenernaya sejsmika v kriolitozone (izuchenie stroeniya i svojstv merzlykh i talykh gornykh porod i massivov). SPb.: Izd-vo OAO «VNIIG im. B.E. Vedeneeva», 2009. 401 s.


Review

For citations:


Imaev V.S., Imaeva L.P., Kozmin B.M., Petrov A.F., Shibaev S.V., Grib N.N., Kolodeznikov I.I. Possibilities of seismic danger estimation of natural and technogenic risk of «Yakutsk city» agglomeration. Arctic and Subarctic Natural Resources. 2018;23(4):16-29. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.31242/2618-9712-2018-26-4-16-29

Views: 22


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.


ISSN 2618-9712 (Print)
ISSN 2686-9683 (Online)